Powers: Patrick Reed — Will roll with my pick to win at a place he’s had great success. Glover had the great finish at Valero, but a lot of his success has been dictated by the putter recently. Houston: Lanto Griffin. Paul Casey would become the 18th with a win this week. The par 3’s are long, playing over 200 yards, while the par 4 and 5’s are all manageable. Waste Management: Daniel Berger. He has two runner-up finishes and a T-7 in his past five trips, so there’s no reason to think he won’t be in contention again this week. Per the RickRunGood.com golf database, McCarthy has gained strokes on approach in each of his past four starts. Caddie: Kevin Streelman (+550) — There were weeks recently where Streels was priced as low as 30-1 outright. and one over Louis Oosthuizen and Jason Kokrak by another. Let's pick a winner THIS WEEK! Top-10 results from the Zurich Classic: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Keegan Bradley and Brendan Steele (+275). Alldrick, FanShare Sports: James Hahn (125-1) — Hahn ranks ninth in total strokes-gained at similar courses and has a 65 to his name here an Innisbrook. 2021 Valspar Championship: Pro Golf Now Staff Picks to Win Paul Casey. Mayakoba: Corey Conners. With Paul Casey going for a three-peat this week in Tampa (won 2018, won 2019, canceled in 2020)...Over the last 40 years, there have been 8 instances of a player winning the same @PGATOUR title 3 straight years.Tiger Woods has 6 of them. AMEX: Scottie Scheffler. By Kyle Porter. Seems like a mistake. T he Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Golf Resort, host of this week’s Valspar Championship, can be one of the more challenging tests on the PGA Tour. $2,418,200 — The combined earnings by Paul Casey in his six starts at this event. 2004 — The last time Phil Mickelson played this event. PGA DFS Picks: The Valspar Championship. 2. Justin Rose. It's really unfortunate that the Valspar Championship has been buried amid the Florida swing in recent years because it has become a compelling tournament with a star-studded field playing a tough, good golf course at Innisbrook Resort. Gehman: Dustin Johnson (11-1) — DJ hasn't been in stellar in 2021 with just one top-10 finish to his record. RBC Heritage: Daniel Berger. His 21 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are third-most all-time. We know the recipe to success at Innisbrook’s Copperhead course, which has hosted this event since 2000: You need to hit fairways—with three-inch rough looming along these doglegs—and you need to hit greens. Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Charley Hoffman (45-1) — Hoffman has a plethora of experience here at Innisbrook, having made 13 career starts. RELATED: 10 players who will make you money in 2021, Valspar Championship 2021 picks: Players to Fade This Week (who will disappoint). Shriners: Matthew Wolff. After an exciting week at the Zurich Classic, the PGA Tour heads back to Florida for the 2021 Valspar Championship. He has been knocking … That worries me a little because a peak can last only so long, but he is doing it with positive marks off the tee and very positive marks with his irons and wedges. Courtesy of Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com: 17 — The number of golfers who have won the same event three times in a row, dating back to the 1879 Open Championship. 2021 Wells Fargo - Discussion & Links. Valspar Championship: 2021 Tournament preview and picks. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Waste Management: Sungjae Im. In 24 rounds at the Copperhead Course, he ranked first in strokes gained approach. But it’s one I feel strongly about. CBS Sports 14 hours ago. Masters: Tyrrell Hatton. His form also isn’t as good as you’d want for an 11-1 shot, ranking just 42nd in the field this week for SG/tee-to-green over the last two months. Stenson should continue his upswing this week outside Tampa. He’s made 13 of 15 cuts in the2020-2021 wraparound season and that includes a run of three straight top 10s in late February and early March. Pat Mayo nailed Collin Morikawa at the WGC-Workday three events ago at 33-1 in addition to Koepka at the WMPO. They bring uniqueness to the event and are always trying to add color. Our experts have now predicted five of the past 12 winners—after going up 225.30 units last season. Previous weeks: Safeway Open: Joel Dahmen; U.S. Open: Jon Rahm; Corales: Denny McCarthy. Finally he’s being priced correctly, and these top-10 odds are nice, too—especially on a layout where you need to hit the fairway (check) and hit good irons and wedges (also check). books have Conners as the third-lowest odds of the week (20-1 at William Hill), behind two of the best players on the planet, Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas. 2021 Valspar Championship picks, field grade, odds, predictions, best bets at Innisbrook A top-heavy field of golfers dominates the last Florida stop of the season for the PGA Tour By Kyle Porter Valspar Championship 2021 DFS picks: Paul Casey has won back-to-back at Innisbrook, but our DFS expert explains why he's set up for a disappointing week. Save for one bad week at Bay Hill, his tee-to-green numbers have been very solid since Torrey. But we are starting to see improvement. Seems to be the more trustworthy golfer in this matchup, plus the vibes are good as he’s a former Valspar winner. and Paul Casey at the Valspar Championship. Action Network Staff. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Covering the impact of coronavirus on the sports world. Then in 2007, it was moved to March, where … For the PGA Tour schedule, the field is finalized after the … April 27, 2021. Sleeper Picks: Valspar Championship. Apr 28, 2021, 11:49 PM EDT. . Fantasy golf picks for the 2021 Valspar Championship. April 27, 2021. The next eight highest earnings have played this event at least 11 times each. After a fun team play event in New Orleans, the pros head back to Florida for the Valspar Championship at Copperhead in Palm Harbor Florida. He’s won it two years in a row, and he’s having arguably the best year of his career. This year, the event will be taking place at … Mayo: Gary Woodland (70-1) — A former winner of this event, albeit ages ago, Woodland’s slowly returning to form post injury. So at this ball-striking venue, why are some of our experts and other sharp handicappers in the industry fading Conners? Hennessey, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (9-1) — These odds are way too low. AT&T Byron Nelson TPC Craig Ranch RSM: Brian Harman. Emiliano Grillo is trending nicely entering Tampa, Florida. Valspar Championship 2021 picks: Our Experts’ Outright Predictions (Odds from William Hill). WGC-Workday: Xander Schauffele. AT&T Pebble Beach: Jason Day. He seems far away. Those three top-10 finishes in Florida—plus his history at the Valspar—make this a great bet. section: | slug: 2021-valspar-championship-picks-field-grade-odds-predictions-best-bets-at-innisbrook | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Listen below and subscribe to The First Cut Golf podcast where we explain what's happening on the course so you can win off of it. The overall edge should belong to Griffin in this one as a result. (Subscribe for video or audio. IF YOU ARE A CALIFORNIA RESIDENT AND WOULD LIKE TO EXERCISE YOUR RIGHT TO OPT-OUT OF THIRD-PARTY DATA SHARING, YOU MAY DO SO HERE: DO NOT SELL MY PERSONAL INFORMATION. Matchup results from the Zurich Classic: Gdula and Gehman: 1 for 1 (Bubba Watson and Scottie Scheffler (-108) over Tony Finau and Cameron Champ); Caddie: 1 for 1 (Viktor Hovland and Kris Ventura (-115) over Dylan Frittelli and Kevin Streelman); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Jon Rahm and Ryan Palmer (-115) over Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman (-137) over Tyrrell Hatton and Danny Willett); Powers, Alldrick: 0 for 1. Our picks. Zozo: Joaquin Niemann. nature that serves as the building blocks for elite seasons. GolfBet. Results from last season: Golf Digest's betting panel is RED-HOT. Short and accurate? Ping i59 irons - 2021 Wells Fargo Championship. AMEX: Matthew Wolff. Ping i59 irons - 2021 Wells Fargo Championship. No, Conners at 20-1 is not an exciting bet. He’s been the second-best in this field on approach shots in the past 36 rounds per Fantasy National—better even than Corey Conners who everyone’s obsessed with this week. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industry’s leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Seemingly, this would point to Corey Conners, one of the hottest golfers on the planet right now. Bermuda: Rasmus Hojgaard. The Masters: Dustin Johnson. I like that for him, and he’s a good value, per my betting model, at 22-1. With the midseason break for the Zurich Classic of New Orleans behind us, PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf resumes with the Valspar Championship. Sentry TOC: Patrick Reed. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Patrick Reed (20-1) — Reed has a “go-to” shot off the tee, which is critical in Florida with big numbers lurking for an errant drive. And he’s really good on these par 4s—plus you get some nice upside with a guy who knows how to find the winner’s circle. 2021 Valspar Championship picks, odds, predictions: Best bets to make this week at Innisbrook Resort This week's event at Innisbrook Resort will … Harbour Town was the first event since Kapalua where he gained 3.5 strokes in approaches. Want the sharpest DFS advice, picks and data-driven golf analysis? Matchup Results this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 15-10-1 (up 4.7 units); Alldrick: 16-11-1 (up 3.77 units); Gdula: 15-13-0 (up 1.09 units); Powers: 12-12-4 (down 0.76 units); Mayo: 13-13-1 (down 1.02 units); Gehman: 10-16-2 (down 5.55 units); Caddie: 9-16-3 (down 6.38 units). Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. With three of the top 10 players in the world (including the top two), the field is solid and the table is set for another great week in Tampa. Honda Classic: Adam Scott. Understanding what the numbers say about the bets you make is how you begin to build a profitable strategy in betting on golf—which is what we’re all after. In addition, it’s getting to the point in the season where if you don’t use him here, you aren’t going to have that many opportunities where he is the preferred target. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Charley Hoffman (45-1) — I will be betting Cameron Tringale, Charley Hoffman and Chris Kirk this week … they’re all top-five in my custom model from Fantasy National. Gehman: Charley Hoffman (+400) — Hoffman has been one of the best players on tour since the start of 2021. Mayo: Sungjae Im (+300) — Sungjae has been living off driving and putting for four months. Valspar Championship 2021 picks: Sleepers/Dark Horses Who Could Win (Odds from William Hill). CJ Cup: Daniel Berger. If he can marry decent approach play with his phenomenal putting, he could be a threat this week. Ten times this event has been decided by one stroke or in a playoff. Gdula: Lanto Griffin (-112) over Erik van Rooyen (FanDuel) — Both are good tee to green, but Griffin is also a good putter, and EVR is not. Gdula: Ryan Palmer (45-1) — Palmer is long off the tee but not extraordinarily long, so he’s not getting dinged massively for the course fit, and he has made both cuts here in his career by striping the irons well and putting positively. At 20-1 odds, that gives Conners implied odds of 5 percent to win the Valspar. Sentry TOC: Justin Thomas. He’s been so damn good recently: He’s fifth in this field in SG/approach in his past 36 rounds (per Fantasy National); sixth in the crucial SG/par 3s (there are five par 3s here) and he’s seventh in the par-4 scoring between 400-450 yards, which nearly all nine par 4s measure out at. Masters: Bubba Watson. That’s why Reed has finished runner-up here twice and why I think he’ll contend once again. Masters: Rory McIlroy. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images) Name: Valspar Championship Tour Debut: 2000 (Tampa Bay Classic) Title Sponsor: Valspar Paint Dates: Apr 29-May 2, 2021 Where: Palm Harbor, Fla. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Gehman: Chris Kirk (-110) over Emiliano Grillo (DraftKings) — There’s a certain style of golf that is played in Florida. As a U.K.-based expert, Alldrick’s insight into European Tour regulars and low priced, low owned plays has provided an invaluable edge for readers when it comes to DFS GPPs. WGC-Workday: Tyrrell Hatton. According to DataGolf, Matt Kuchar, Webb Simpson, Luke Donald, Steve Stricker and Jim Furyk are all in the top 15 of strokes gained at this course over the last decade. Hennessey: Corey Conners (+120) over Justin Thomas (FanDuel) — I’m taking a stand on both Conners (positively) and Thomas (negatively) this week, so this matchup will be getting my action. Hoffman is the highest of the three—and he also has the most PGA Tour wins (four), so I’m favoring him. Listen to this week's "Be Right" podcast (above) and be sure to subscribe to our podcast wherever you get your podcasts, as we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups—every week! Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Justin Thomas (-120) over Dustin Johnson (Betway) — As you can see with my player to fade, I think DJ will be up against it this week. 2021 Valspar PGA Betting Picks. © 2004-2021 CBS Interactive. Valspar Championship PGA One and Done Pick: Sungjae Im. Please put any questions or comments here 2021 … 2021 Valspar Championship Predictions with Odds and Expert Betting Picks. CJ Cup: Xander Schauffele. The Players: Jordan Spieth. Credit: Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. We're off to Florida for the Valspar Championship, an event Paul Casey has won the last two renewals of at Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Resort. There’s certainly a solid field at Innisbrook Golf Club this week At the top of the board is Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas. Valspar Championship 2021 picks: Has the Corey Conners hate gone too far? For Hoffman, that has translated to seven top-20 finishes in 12 starts, including a runner-up finish at the Valero Texas Open. He won twice that year (including his first Masters), finished runner-up twice and ended 2004 as the fifth-ranked player in the world. GolfWRX_Spotted posted a topic in Tour and Pre-Release Equipment, May 4. His weakness has always been, well, the rest of his game. The Valspar Championship has played as one of the 10 toughest courses on the PGA Tour six of the past seven years and also produced a winning score no better than 10-under just once in that timeframe. Houston: Russell Henley. It’s just too tough for me to completely buy into it, especially when there are both better and comparable players behind him on the board at far better prices. https://twitter.com/PGATOUR/status/1387086767493455876?s=20 EXPERT PICKS: VALSPAR CHAMPIONSHIP EXPERTLINEUPWINNERROB BOLTONFANTASY INSIDERPaul CaseyCorey ConnersPatrick ReedJustin RoseDustin JohnsonJustin ThomasCorey ConnersNice and… THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. © 2021 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Powers, Golf Digest: Viktor Hovland (22-1) — Hovland can absolutely drive and ball strike his way into contention on any given week, but the short game woes scare me at a course where you’ll need to get up and down for par a bunch. How to make 2021 Valspar Championship picks The model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 28-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. 2021 Valspar Championship, Tenerife Open betting card: Outrights, matchups, top 10s, top 20s 04/28/2021 2021 Valspar Championship DraftKings daily fantasy golf picks That would explain why Pat Mayo, of Mayo Media Network and Fantasy National, is fading Conners at his price. That’s no different at the Valspar this week, and Grillo has struggled with this type of golf the past few years. My golf bets don’t typically include favorites, but I’m even less scared of the chalk this week. RELATED: Rickie Fowler awarded special invite to 2021 PGA Championship. This is extremely welcome news after the Valspar golf tournament 2020 was cancelled due to the Covid-19 pandemic that ruined much of that year’s sport. That’s a recipe for being in the trees all day at Copperhead. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OUR VISITOR AGREEMENT (UPDATED 1/1/20), PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE (UPDATED 1/1/20) AND CALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Houston: Russell Henley. The Copperhead Course is intriguing in that it goes against the grain of the normal PGA Tour track and rewards shorter and more accurate drivers. Until the Heritage. Overall, 18 of the top 50 players in the world will be teeing it up, and Phil Mickelson will make his first appearance since 2004. Im simply has minimal red flags and still provides plenty of upside. Hadwin is coming off a MC at RBC as well, but that seemed to be an outlier in an otherwise solid stretch coming in that included top 30s at the players and Valero and an eighth at Honda. 2021 Valspar Championship One and Done picks. Never been a Grillo backer because of the balky putter, but I’m all aboard this week. . Despite dominating this event in recent years, Casey … Sony: Zach Johnson. Per the RickRunGood.com golf database, he has gained 1.76 strokes per round in 32 rounds this year. Torrey: Sungjae Im. managing editor: Corey Conners (20-1) — This has been a topic of debate amongst golf-betting circles this week. Everyone else: 0 for 1. We’re basing the argument on his past win equity—but he has proven he’s a different player lately. 8 ranked player in the world, is now quickly being dismissed in favor of trendier players at the moment. Winning is all we care about. The ties that bind this week's Valspar Championship bets are recent ball-striking and driving accuracy. Tyrrell Hatton (+2800): Tyrrell Hatton is a winner who is starting to show signs of rounding back into form. 2021 Valspar Championship DraftKings Picks. 2021 Valspar Championship Picks Tyrrell Hatton ($9,400) Editor’s note: Tyrrell Hatton has withdrawn from the Valspar Championship after testing positive for COVID-19. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. Buy low on the dropping star. Read above on why I’m in on Conners and out on JT. RELATED: Valspar Championship 2021 picks for DFS: Why Paul Casey is likely to disappoint this week. The 2021 Valspar Championship Fantasy Preview After the fun and games of the Zurich Classic, it’s back to the serious stuff this week with the Valspar Championship. WGC-Match Play: Patrick Reed. 1, but I’ll stick with the safe top 10 play for now. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 fantasy sports-writers association Golf Writer of the Year *(congrats, Brandon!)*. Three-peat: The obvious, glaring storyline this week is Paul Casey's bid for three straight Valspar Championship wins. He’s also the best out of Tringale and Kirk in SG/putting on Bermuda, and he’s 18th in this field—plus he’s coming off the close call at Valero. Bermuda: Doc Redman. Kirk has been one of the better players on tour recently, so he gets the nod for me. The Masters: Jordan Spieth. As we’ve said, our crew gets hot and tends to stay hot, so don’t miss out on our picks! Earning his first victory here would not be a surprise, and it’s a nice number. I’ve seen him upclose over the past couple months, and it ain’t pretty. 2021 Valspar Championship picks – Long shot Ryan Moore (+10000) Moore is second on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy for the season. This is a ball-striker’s course, and Scheffler has proved to be able to scramble recently, too. RELATED: Valspar Championship 2021 picks: How to make the tough decisions in DFS this week, Valspar Championship 2021 picks: Top 10 (Odds from William Hill). The course is a Par 71 (with 5 par 3’s) playing over 7300 yards. Mayo: Gary Woodland (-115) over Sam Burns (DraftKings) — Love Woodland in this spot, and while Burns has seemingly come out of his struggles post West Coast swing, he’s still suffering from “One Awful Round Syndrome”. AMEX: Patrick Cantlay. His recent success suggests another good showing at a track where he's raised two of his three PGA Tour trophies. The Masters: Dustin Johnson. Field for the 2021 Valspar Championship. Since Jan. 1, Casey is the only player in this field who has gained over two strokes per round. RSM: Brian Harman. He’s ninth in my model but in this field he’s 98th in Fantasy National’s “Good Drives Gained” stat, which measures tee shots that lead to birdie chances. Genesis Invitational: Tony Finau. The two-time defending Valspar Championship winner Paul Casey didn’t get the chance to go for a three-peat... Corey Conners. It was ‘Team Mullet’ – that’s Australian duo Marc Leishman and Cameron Smith – that prevailed in the pairs event, seeing off a late challenge from Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel to lift the Zurich trophy. The event itself has been around since 2000, but for years it was just an alternate field and/or swing season event. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS.
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